Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.019982 0.021601 0.023288 0.025180 0.027243 0.029426 0.031912
2025-09-28 0.017310 0.019630 0.022179 0.025192 0.028664 0.032547 0.037230
2025-10-05 0.015477 0.018184 0.021276 0.025080 0.029650 0.034981 0.041700
2025-10-12 0.014253 0.017234 0.020748 0.025215 0.030769 0.037480 0.046255
2025-10-19 0.013248 0.016415 0.020251 0.025266 0.031688 0.039689 0.050495
2025-10-26 0.012378 0.015672 0.019755 0.025229 0.032425 0.041641 0.054452
2025-11-02 0.011641 0.015026 0.019316 0.025195 0.033115 0.043513 0.058361
2025-11-09 0.010837 0.014232 0.018618 0.024753 0.033198 0.044540 0.061137
2025-11-16 0.010125 0.013511 0.017962 0.024307 0.033219 0.045444 0.063747
2025-11-23 0.009618 0.013031 0.017596 0.024219 0.033706 0.046990 0.067322
2025-11-30 0.009124 0.012538 0.017176 0.024021 0.034006 0.048259 0.070538
2025-12-07 0.008696 0.012112 0.016822 0.023887 0.034374 0.049624 0.073948
2025-12-14 0.008237 0.011633 0.016391 0.023647 0.034617 0.050882 0.077384
2025-12-21 0.007886 0.011295 0.016144 0.023667 0.035251 0.052767 0.081935
2025-12-28 0.007530 0.010926 0.015832 0.023564 0.035682 0.054352 0.086094
2026-01-04 0.007264 0.010678 0.015681 0.023690 0.036463 0.056514 0.091316
2026-01-11 0.006997 0.010413 0.015489 0.023737 0.037112 0.058486 0.096333
2026-01-18 0.006730 0.010133 0.015256 0.023703 0.037618 0.060241 0.101078
2026-01-25 0.006482 0.009870 0.015036 0.023671 0.038119 0.062003 0.105935
2026-02-01 0.006163 0.009480 0.014597 0.023259 0.037956 0.062626 0.108794
2026-02-08 0.005865 0.009109 0.014170 0.022842 0.037758 0.063169 0.111525
2026-02-15 0.005657 0.008875 0.013952 0.022760 0.038125 0.064703 0.116168
2026-02-22 0.005440 0.008616 0.013681 0.022575 0.038297 0.065894 0.120231